Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Prawiroharjo, P.; Fakhri, A.; Gabrielle, A.; Martalia, V.; Rahmayani, S. A.; Wijaya, V. G.
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Aphasia diagnosis in Indonesia remains challenging due to limited culturally and linguistically appropriate instruments. Widely used tools such as the Boston Diagnostic Aphasia Examination (BDAE) and Western Aphasia Battery (WAB) are not adapted to the Indonesian context, while Tes Afasia untuk Diagnosis, Informasi, dan Rehabilitasi (TADIR) provides screening but lacks diagnostic accuracy. To address this gap, we developed the Instrumen Diagnosis dan Evaluasi Afasia (IDEA) for native Indonesian speakers and evaluated its validity, reliability, and normative cutoff values in cognitively healthy Indonesian adults. Eighty-three cognitively normal adults (screened using MoCA-Ina) with no history of neurological disease were assessed using IDEA, which evaluates six language domains. Items were adapted from existing tools and reviewed by experts. Content validity, internal consistency (Cronbachs alpha), and construct validity (Exploratory Factor Analysis) were analyzed using SPSS v25. A total of 83 participants were included (median age = 55.81 years, 54% secondary education). IDEA demonstrated good feasibility, with an average completion time of 45-60 minutes depending on participant engagement. Content validity was established by unanimous expert consensus. Construct validity showed meritorious sampling adequacy (KMO = .872) and significant sphericity (Bartletts test {chi}^2 (15) = 278.523, p<.001), supporting factor analysis. Internal consistency showed good reliability across six domains (Cronbachs = 0.896). IDEA is a valid and reliable tool for assessing aphasia in Indonesian natives. It is a culturally appropriate assessment tool which offers structured, domain-based evaluation and supports differential diagnosis of both classical and progressive aphasia syndromes. Keywords: Aphasia, Language Assessment, Indonesian, IDEA, Validity
Wu, J.; Glaser, K.; Price, D.; Di Gessa, G.
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Background. Given uncertainty about whether later-life health at similar ages is improving over time, we examined trends across multiple health domains. Methods. We analysed data from community-dwelling adults aged 50 and older in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing in 2004/05, 2012/13, and 2023/24 (main survey: N=8389, 8549, and 6090, respectively). Outcomes included self-rated health, limiting long-standing illness, pain, mobility limitations, cardiometabolic and chronic conditions, obesity, inflammation, mental health, quality of life and memory. Weighted pooled modified Poisson and linear regressions compared outcomes over time, overall, and by age group and education, with additional adjustment for sex and wealth. Results. Adjusted estimates showed divergent trends. Fair/poor self-rated health increased from 27% to 34%, and any pain from 37% to 47%, whereas mobility impairments declined from 58% to 52%. Self-reported high cholesterol increased from 19% to 39%, while biomarker-defined high cholesterol declined from 78% to 54%; diabetes increased on both measures. Psychiatric problems increased from 6% to 10%, quality of life declined, and memory improved. However, trends differed by age and education, particularly for limiting long-standing illness, mobility limitations, cholesterol biomarkers, and mental health, indicating that aggregate trends masked unevenly distributed changes. Conclusion. Later-life health in England has not improved uniformly. Gains in functioning, biomarkers, and cognition coexist with rising pain and poorer mental health. Trends were also socially and age patterned, producing increasingly multidimensional and socially patterned health outcomes. Multidomain health monitoring is essential for interpreting population health trends and planning healthy ageing, prevention, long-term care, and work policies.
Wang, F.; Utianski, R. L.; Duffy, J. R.; Barnard, L. R.; Botha, H.
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This study examined the extent to which goodness of pronunciation (GoP) scores and phonological posterior probabilities capture perceptual ratings of speech severity in individuals with motor speech disorders (MSD). Speech recordings of the word catastrophe were obtained from 489 participants, including 333 neurologically typical controls and 156 individuals with MSD. GoP scores were derived using traditional acoustic features and self-supervised speech representations, including WavLM and XLS-R, across multiple modeling approaches, while phonological posterior probabilities were extracted using Phonet. Model performance was evaluated using Kendall's rank correlations, regression, and receiver operating characteristic analyses against speech-language pathologists' perceptual ratings of sound distortion and intelligibility. Both GoP and phonological posterior probabilities were significantly associated with perceptual ratings. Self-supervised speech representations substantially outperformed traditional acoustic features, with WavLM-based GoP using k-nearest neighbors achieving the strongest performance. Across correlation, regression, and classification analyses, GoP consistently outperformed phonological posterior probabilities for both sound distortion and intelligibility. Age and gender had minimal influence on model-derived measures or their relationships with perceptual ratings. These findings demonstrate the value of self-supervised GoP as an objective measure of speech impairment while highlighting the complementary role of phonological posterior probabilities in characterizing articulatory aspects of motor speech disorders.
Ansari, T.; Zehra, A.; Jabbar, S.; Fatima, M.; Syed, B.; Shah, S. S. A. M.; Ahmed, A. S.; Hamid, A.; Ashafaq, H.
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Background: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) disproportionately affects low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) such as Pakistan, where obstetric and gynaecological (OBGYN) patients carry high antibiotic exposure. Specialty-specific drug utilization data with concurrent stewardship audit remain scarce. This study evaluated antibiotic prescribing patterns, consumption metrics, and antimicrobial stewardship program (AMS) compliance in OBGYN inpatients at a public sector tertiary care hospital. Methods: A prospective cross-sectional study was conducted in OBGYN wards of Dow University Hospital, Karachi, from 1 September to 31 October 2025. Women receiving [≥]1 systemic antibiotic were included. Daily AMS rounds were conducted by an Infectious Diseases physician and pharmacist. Antibiotic consumption was measured as Defined Daily Doses (DDD) and Days of Therapy (DOT) per 1,000 patient-days (total = 821). Antibiotics were classified by WHO AWaRe (2023) framework. Results: Of 812 total admissions, 278 patients (34.2%) received [≥]1 antibiotic and were enrolled (205 obstetric, 73 gynaecological), generating 636 prescriptions (mean 2.29/patient). Surgical prophylaxis was the predominant documented indication (213, 33.5%); 65.1% carried no documented indication. By AWaRe classification, 53.6% were Access-group and 46.1% Watch-group. Ceftriaxone (38.4%) and metronidazole (36.8%) together represented 75.2% of prescriptions. Combined DDD/1,000 patient-days was 1,758.6 and DOT/1,000 patient-days was 1,852.7. AMS compliance was 0%. Conclusions: This study documents high antibiotic prescribing burden, near-universal documentation failure, and zero AMS compliance in OBGYN inpatients at a Pakistani public sector hospital. The predominance of Watch-group antibiotics and undocumented surgical prophylaxis highlights structural stewardship gaps. Findings support urgent need for institutional OBGYN antibiotic guidelines and structured pharmacist-led AMS programs.
Mohammadi Yazdi, S.; Motevaselian, M.; Khatami, S.; Radfar, N.; jourahmad, z.; Perez, H. A.
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Background: Post-stroke dysphagia (PSD) contributes to aspiration, pneumonia, malnutrition, prolonged hospitalization and mortality. We evaluated the discrimination, validity and readiness of machine learning and data-driven prediction models for PSD-related outcomes. Methods: Following a prospectively registered protocol (PROSPERO CRD420261419259), we searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, CINAHL and CENTRAL from inception through June 7, 2026. Eligible studies developed or validated multivariable prediction models for PSD-related outcomes in adults with stroke. We used PROBAST and PROBAST+AI to assess risk of bias and applicability and TRIPOD+AI to evaluate reporting. Area under the curve (AUC) estimates were pooled on the logit scale with random-effects models. Results: Twenty-four studies were included and ten contributed to meta-analysis. Four studies predicting early or incident PSD yielded a pooled AUC of 0.94 (95% CI 0.60-0.99; I2 = 95.6%). Pooled AUCs were 0.84 (95% CI 0.71-0.92) for aspiration or penetration-aspiration and 0.89 (95% CI 0.24-1.00) for severe dysphagia. The exploratory analysis of all ten risk-prediction models produced an AUC of 0.90 (95% CI 0.80-0.95), but heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 90.3%) and the prediction interval was 0.51-0.99. Every study had high risk of bias because of analysis-domain concerns; calibration and external validation were uncommon. Conclusions: Reported discrimination was often high, but the evidence does not establish reliable performance in care. Independent validation, calibration, complete model reporting and clinical-impact studies are needed before these models guide post-stroke swallowing care. Keywords: Post-stroke dysphagia; Stroke; Deglutition disorders; Machine learning; Clinical prediction model; Area under the curve; Meta-analysis
Aleligne, Y.; Romero, E.; Santana, C.; Bidwell, J. T.; Lopez, J.; Nuno, M.; Ebong, I.; Izu, L.; Liem, D.; Chiamvimonvat, N.; Cadeiras, M.
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Background: Neighborhood-level social determinants of health influence cardiovascular outcomes; however, their association with post-discharge healthcare utilization in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains incompletely defined. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 6,702 adults hospitalized for HFpEF (2014 to 2022). Patients were assigned to one of four neighborhood environments (NEnv-1 to NEnv-4) using a validated clustering framework based on ZIP code-level socioeconomic variables. The primary outcome was time to first HF readmission, evaluated within prespecified post-discharge intervals (0-30 days, >30-90 days, and >90-365 days). Secondary outcomes included HF-related healthcare re-encounters and HF hospitalization burden (0, 1, or [≥]2 admissions). Cox proportional hazards and multinomial logistic regression models were used. Results: Neighborhood environment was independently associated with post-discharge outcomes with distinct temporal patterns. Early (0-30 days) HF readmission risk was higher in NEnv-3 (aHR, 1.63) and NEnv-4 (aHR, 1.76), with similar increases in HF-related re-encounters (aHR, 1.72 and 1.84) persisting through the >30-90-day interval. In contrast, NEnv-2 demonstrated a delayed-risk pattern, with the highest risk occurring in the >90-365-day interval (readmission aHR, 3.42; re-encounter aHR, 3.45). All non-reference environments were associated with a higher likelihood of at least one post-index HF admission (aOR range, 1.84-2.24). NEnv-4 uniquely demonstrated higher odds of recurrent hospitalization ([≥]2 vs. 1 admission; aOR, 1.64). Conclusions: Neighborhood environment is associated with distinct, time-dependent patterns of HF utilization in HFpEF, including early, delayed, and recurrent risks. Incorporating neighborhood context may help identify when patients with HFpEF are most vulnerable after discharge and guide the timing of post-discharge interventions.
Wanjau, M. N.; Duncombe, S. L.; Kubler, J.; Dillon, G.; Mielke, G. I.; Veerman, L.
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To estimate the life expectancy gains that could be realised from increases in Queenslanders physical activity (PA) levels. Design Lifetable analysis Setting, Participants We modelled the 2025 Queensland population aged [≥]40 years. Modelled scenarios We applied two approaches. In the first, we estimated life expectancy differences between device-measured PA quartiles, with quartile1 representing the least active and quartile 4 the most active. In the second, we compared observed device-measured PA levels in Queensland with scenarios in which all individuals moved to either [≥]12,000 steps/day or [≤]2,000 steps/day. We converted the steps per day by age group and PA quartile into equivalent daily minutes of moderate-intensity walking at 4.8 km/h. Additional scenarios were explored in sensitivity analyses. Main outcomes Changes in life expectancy, and total life-years gained over the lifetime of the modelled population. Benefits were also translated into minutes of life gained per additional hour walked. Results If all Queenslanders aged [≥]40 years were as active as the most active quartile, life expectancy at birth could be 88.3 years, an increase of 4.8 years above the life expectancy at observed activity levels. The life expectancy differences between individuals in the least active quartile and the most active quartile was 9.7 years. Achieving the activity level of the most active quartile would require individuals in the lowest activity quartile to undertake an additional 85.9 minutes/day of moderate-intensity walking, with each extra hour of PA associated with an average gain of approximately 3 hours (177 minutes) of life. In step-based modelling, life expectancy in the most active scenario (all achieving [≥]12,000 steps/day) was higher by {approx}7.1 years compared with the least active scenario (all at [≤]2,000 steps/day). Conclusions Increasing PA could yield meaningful gains in life expectancy for Queenslanders, with the largest gains seen in least active individuals. Our findings strengthen the case for prioritising investment in PA -promoting programs and environments.
Jones, B.; Mitchell, A.; Marangou, J.; Yan, J.; Cannon, J.; Williamson, J. M.; Law, L.; Kaethner, A.; Bailey, M.; Collins, R.; Mayo, L.; Wade, V.; Fitzsimmons, D.; Paterson, A.; Remenyi, B.; Ralph, A. P.; Wheaton, G.; Haynes, E.; Katzenellenbogen, J. M.; Howard, N. J.; Riley, P.; Brown, K.; Gatti, J.; Lockyer, S.; Pears, C.; Stewart, M.; Rossingh, B.; Daniels, C.; Fernandes, A. M.; Hardefeldt, H.; O Brien, J.; Hillis, G. S.; Engelman, D.; Brown, A.; Steer, A. C.; Carapetis, J.; English, M.; Nagraj, S.; Francis, J. R.
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Background: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remains a major cause of premature death in low- and middle-income countries and First Nations communities. Early detection and management can prevent progression, but requires echocardiography, which is limited in high-burden settings. Task-sharing echocardiographic screening is an accessible, evidence-based approach but implementation remains unclear. Methods: We conducted a prospective implementation evaluation of a co-designed task-sharing screening programme across five remote First Nations Australian communities between May 2023 and November 2025. Predominantly community health workers (CHWs), alongside nurses and doctors, were trained to scan using handheld devices with off-site cardiologist interpretation. We assessed implementation outcomes and used a realist evaluation to explore how context shaped CHWs ability to complete training and embed screening into routine work. Data included scanning activity, surveys, costing, interviews, focus groups, and field notes. Findings: We trained 32 staff (21 CHWs, 8 nurses, 3 doctors) to scan across five sites. Scanning frequency was lower and more variable than anticipated: 360 scans (including training and post-certification) of 5 - 20 year olds over 14 months, with site-level coverage of 3 - 85%. Fidelity was limited by device unavailability, charging problems, and delays in uploads and reviews. Set-up and training cost A$51,903 per site, plus A$9,858/year in implementation support. Screening was easier for CHWs to embed when the legitimacy of their role as a scanner was communicated, but harder when invisible work outweighed opportunities to scan. Interpretation: Future implementation will require efforts to legitimise CHWs scanning and support invisible work. Event-based screening offers a promising complementary strategy. Scale-up requires policy support. Funding: This research was funded by the Australian Medical Research Futures Fund Cardiovascular Health Mission (GNT2015869), in addition to philanthropic donations from Medtronic Australasia, Edwards Life Sciences and the Rotary Club of Kiama. Hand-held devices (Philips Lumify, USA) were donated by Humpty Dumpty Foundation and East Timor Hearts Fund.
Rahman, M. M.; Guha Niyogi, P.
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The apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), the conventional metric of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) severity, is typically studied using scalar summaries of sleep architecture, such as the total time spent in each sleep stage. Although clinically interpretable, these summaries fail to capture the temporal organization of overnight sleep-stage sequences and may obscure stage-specific associations with OSA severity. Modeling the complete sleep-stage trajectory provides substantially richer temporal information; however, because total sleep duration varies across individuals, sleep-stage trajectories are observed over subject-specific domains, limiting the applicability of conventional functional regression methods that assume a common observation interval. We therefore applied Variable-Domain Functional Regression (VDFR) to overnight polysomnographic data from the APPLES study (n= 1,103), treating the epoch-by-epoch sleep-stage sequence as a continuous, variable-length functional predictor of AHI. We compared three levels of sleep-stage granularity: five stages (Wakefulness, N1, N2, N3, REM), three stages (Wakefulness, Non-REM, REM), and binary staging (Wakefulness vs. Sleep). Functional sleep-stage terms were significant across all staging granularities and model structures (all p-values [≤]0.001). Wake, N1, and N2 were positively associated with AHI, whereas N3 and REM were negatively associated, with REM exhibiting the strongest association. These effects were attenuated under coarser staging representations, highlighting the importance of preserving fine-grained sleep architecture. To our knowledge, this is the first application of VDFR to overnight polysomnographic data in OSA, showing that accommodating subject-specific sleep durations enables the identification of stage-specific temporal associations with AHI severity that are attenuated or obscured by coarser staging and conventional scalar analyses.
Kano, A.; Akiyama, Y.; Kamijo, Y.-I.; Hamaguchi, T.
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Distal radius fractures (DRFs) can delay return to activities of daily living and social participation because of postoperative pain, temporary joint immobilization, and limited wrist and forearm range of motion. The Ghost System developed at Saitama Prefectural University, Japan, combines visual action observation with tendon vibration stimulation and has shown potential as an adjunct to conventional rehabilitation. This Study Protocol describes a modified Ghost system intended to improve clinical implementation by replacing the head-mounted virtual reality display with iPad-based action observation and by using a wristband-type vibrator. This single-center, single-arm, open-label feasibility trial will enroll 10 adults after palmar locking plate fixation for DRF. The intervention will be delivered twice weekly during outpatient rehabilitation follow-up sessions from the early postoperative period (postoperative days 2-10 after enrollment) through the approved early postoperative rehabilitation period (generally up to postoperative week 8), in parallel with standard rehabilitation practices. Primary feasibility and preliminary clinical outcomes include device fit and acceptability, pain assessed using a 100-mm Visual Analog Scale, and wrist/forearm range of motion. Secondary implementation and safety outcomes include Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH), Patient-Rated Wrist Evaluation (PRWE), Hand20 Questionnaire (HANDS-20), EuroQol 5 Dimensions 5 Levels (EQ-5D-5L), body ownership and hand-illusion questionnaires, setup time, setup errors, adherence, adverse events, and device incidents. We hypothesize that the modified Ghost system will be feasible and acceptable for early postoperative outpatient rehabilitation and will be delivered without serious device-related adverse events. Clinical outcomes will be summarized descriptively to inform a future controlled study rather than to establish efficacy.
Yao, Y.; Li, Y.; Xiong, T.; Wang, J.; Jiang, W.; Peng, Y.; Wei, J.; He, S.; Zhao, Z.; Wei, X.; Li, X.; Meng, W.; Feng, Y.; Chen, M.
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Background: Bicuspid aortic valve anatomy increases procedural complexity during transcatheter aortic valve implantation, yet outcome-oriented anatomic risk stratification for intraprocedural events remains limited. Aims: We aimed to develop and externally validate an anatomy-driven score to predict a composite intraprocedural endpoint, assessed at exit from the procedure room, in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Methods: Consecutive patients with bicuspid aortic valve undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation were analysed in a development cohort (N=793) and a multicentre external validation cohort (N=134). Candidate preprocedural computed tomography and echocardiographic variables were prespecified by expert consensus and refined using penalized regression with bootstrap stability selection within a domain-constrained framework. A five-indicator score (0 to 10 points) was derived from routine imaging metrics spanning the ascending aorta, aortic root, valve complex, annulus-outflow tract unit, and left ventricle, and tested using multivariable logistic regression. Results: The composite intraprocedural endpoint occurred in 101/793 (12.7%) patients in the development cohort, with stepwise increases across risk strata (7.2%, 13.3%, 30.6%; p<0.001). Each 1-point increase was independently associated with higher risk (odds ratio 1.32; 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.47). A similar gradient was observed in external validation (3.1%, 10.8%, 50.0%; p=0.012; odds ratio 1.55 per point), with a C-statistic of 0.725. Higher risk categories were associated with lower early safety and higher 30-day and 1-year mortality. Conclusions: An anatomy-driven score derived from routine preprocedural imaging demonstrates graded discrimination of intraprocedural risk and may inform procedural planning in bicuspid transcatheter aortic valve implantation.
Jarkovsky, J.; Parenica, J.; Benesova, K.; Linhart, A.; Kreji, J.; Malek, F.; Pudil, R.; Ostadal, P.; Blohlavek, J.; Chaloupka, A.; Palecek, T.; Kubanek, M.; Kautzner, J.; Hlasensky, J.; Dusek, L.; Melenovsky, V.; Wohlfahrt, P.
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Population-level data on preclinical heart failure (HF) remain limited because most epidemiological studies focus on symptomatic HF. We therefore developed an administrative-data algorithm to classify HF stages across the national population and describe temporal trends, stage transitions, and mortality across the HF continuum. Methods Using a claims-based staging framework adapted from the Universal Definition of HF, we classified HF stages from ICD-10 codes, prescription records, and medical procedures. We applied this algorithm to the Czech population, linking the National Registry of Reimbursed Health Services to National mortality records from 2015 to 2024. Results In 2024, 27.8% of the Czech population met criteria for Stage A HF and 8.2% for Stage B. Over 10 years, the prevalence of both preclinical stages increased beyond what could be explained by population aging alone, with age-standardized prevalence rising by 9.5% for Stage A and 19.2% for Stage B. Age-standardized 1-year mortality showed a steep stepwise gradient, from 0.69% in Stage A to 1.69% in Stage B, 3.06% in Stage C, and 7.27% in Stage D. Among 52,172 individuals with incident clinical HF in 2024, more than 95% had previously met administrative criteria for Stage A or Stage B. Conclusion Administrative surveillance of the HF continuum using routinely collected healthcare data provides a scalable administrative framework for population-level monitoring of HF burden. In Czechia, both preclinical and clinical HF burdens increased over time beyond population aging alone, underscoring the need for earlier preventive strategies targeting preclinical disease.
Brendler, A.; Fietz, J.; Bauer, A.; Pfahl, D.; Higgins, S.; Vidovic, E.; Brueckl, T.; BeCOME Working Group, ; Memory Clinic Working Group, ; Hupe, K.; Knop, M.; Spoormaker, V. I.
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Cognitive impairment is a prevalent symptom extending from physiological ageing to disease. It commonly manifests itself in initial memory problems, progressing and co-occurring in more severe conditions such as Mild Cognitive Impairment, Alzheimer's Disease and Major Depressive Disorder. However, current non-invasive screening assessments either lack biological information or are invasive and restricted to specialized centers with complex and cost-intensive set-ups. Here, we conducted an initial validation of mobile pupillometry with Virtual Reality (VR) under experimental conditions as a digital biomarker for cognitive impairment by testing required biomarker-specific properties. For this purpose, we first assessed its construct validity by testing healthy participants (n=43) on an n-back task in VR while pupil size was measured. Mixed effects models revealed that similar to lab-based eye-tracking systems, pupil size increased in a sensible and distinguishable fashion as a function of working memory load. Second, to test the signal's reliability, the same participants were tested on the identical set-up two to three months after their first visit. We observed that the pupil response profile was highly stable over this period. Third, for its clinical validity, we examined patients (n=89) from three different cohorts with varying degrees of cognitive impairment and compared them to healthy control participants (n=81). Mixed-effects models indicated that pupil size was reduced as a function of cognitive impairment levels at higher cognitive load and that this effect was stronger pronounced with increasing age. In conclusion, we provide initial evidence for mobile pupillometry being a sensitive, reliable and clinically valid digital biomarker for cognitive functioning and impairment, which offers desirable properties due to its quick, automatized and location-independent set-up. Keywords: digital biomarker, mobile pupillometry, Virtual Reality, cognition, , Major Depressive Disorder, Mild Cognitive Impairment, Alzheimer's Disease
Stolz, E.; Schultz, A.; Poetz, E. L.; Smolle, A. M.; Watzka, C.; Jagsch, C.; Niederkrotenthaler, T.; Erlangsen, A.
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ABSTRACT Background: Onset of cancer is linked to psychological distress and cancer is prevalent in older adults. Yet, the association to suicide is scarcely examined. The aim of this study was to assess whether cancer diagnosed in older adults is associated with suicide incidence. Methods: All older adults (65+ years) who lived in Austria in the years 2014-2021 (n=2,175,134) were followed. Of these, 223,932 were diagnosed with a new cancer. We used non-parametric survival models with inverse-probability-treatment weights to compare risk ratios (relative risk) and risk differences (absolute risk) of older adults with and without cancer. Results: Out of 2,158 suicide deaths, 442 (20.5%; 83.7% males) occurred among older adults with a new cancer diagnosis. The incidence rate was 74 among those with a new cancer diagnosis versus 23 per 100,000 person-years among those with no new cancer. One year after being diagnosed, older adults with a new cancer had a 4 times higher relative risk of dying by suicide compared to those without. The risk was highest within the first three months after diagnosis and for cancers with a poor prognosis (disseminated disease; lung, oesophagus, stomach, liver, pancreas, and brain cancers). The absolute risk of dying by suicide within 5 years after cancer diagnosis was 0.18% versus to 0.11% among those with no new cancer. Discussion: Older adults who received a new cancer diagnosis had elevated suicide risks. Provision of support to cope with mental distress should be considered at cancer diagnosis, especially for older adults with a poor prognosis.
Martin, E. A.; Lee, S.; Walker, R.; Pitka, E.; Soroush, M. Z.; Ezekowitz, J.; Howlett, J. G.; Fine, N. M.; Bakal, J. A.; Quan, H.; Eastwood, C. A.
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Importance: Heart failure readmissions remain common following hospitalization, but accurately identifying which patients will be readmitted after discharge remains challenging. Improved prediction could support targeted transitional care interventions and more efficient allocation of clinical resources. Objective: In this study we attempted to improve readmission prediction after heart failure hospitalization by using variables chosen through a modified Delphi process, and using inpatient Electronic Medical Record (EMR) data, focusing on clinical notes. Design: This prognostic study developed competing risk survival models to predict readmission after heart failure hospitalization. Variables were chosen using a modified Delphi process, and extracted from EMR notes using various natural language processing techniques or from other EMR elements where appropriate. Patients were admitted between 2011 through 2019, and at least one year of follow-up was available for all patients. Models were evaluated using C-statistics, as well as sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values. Setting: During the study period, all acute-care facilities in Calgary, Alberta used the same EMR system, from which patients were selected. Participants: Patients were 18 years or older, resided in Alberta, and were admitted to a Calgary hospital. All corresponding admissions with a most responsible diagnosis of heart failure were included (n=15,160). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome of interest was readmission within 30 days, though 90- and 365-day time frames were also analyzed. Death was treated as a competing risk and analysed at those time frames as well.
Gallego Luxan, B.; Huberts, L.; Yu, J.; Blake, V.; Liu, L.; Jorm, L.; Ooi, S.-Y.
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Background: Unplanned emergency readmissions remain common following hospitalisation for heart failure (HF). Residual congestion, atrial fibrillation, frailty, and other comorbidities contribute to adverse outcomes after discharge. Identifying patients at high risk of readmission or death may help target post-discharge management. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalised with HF in selected New South Wales hospitals who were discharged alive and not documented as receiving end-of-life care. Clinical, laboratory, medication, and text-derived variables extracted from electronic health records were used to develop predictive models and corresponding risk scores for emergency readmission and all-cause mortality within 180 days of discharge. Feature importance methods were used to identify key predictors and explain individual risk estimates. To illustrate model predictions while preserving patient privacy, we generated representative synthetic patient profiles by summarising the characteristics of groups of patients with similar predicted risk patterns and visualised the major contributors to their predicted risks using Shapley values. Results: The study included 5,202 hospitalisations among 3,933 patients. Within 180 days of discharge, 45.2% of patients experienced at least one emergency readmission and 12.4% died. The most common causes of emergency readmission were recurrent HF, followed by atrial fibrillation, chest pain, and pneumonia. Predictive performance was moderate for emergency readmission (AUC 0.70; calibration slope 1.30) and good for mortality (AUC 0.84; calibration slope 1.01). Emergency readmission risk was primarily associated with greater prior healthcare utilisation, a higher number of active medical problems, high risk of falls, older age, and impaired kidney function. Mortality risk was most strongly associated with abnormal red blood cell distribution width, elevated blood urea, older age, and lower systolic blood pressure. A lower number of discharge medications, particularly cardiovascular therapies, was associated with a higher risk of emergency readmission and a lower risk of mortality. Representative synthetic patient profiles demonstrated heterogeneity in the factors contributing to predicted risks, illustrating the value of patient-level risk visualisation. Conclusions: Predictive models identified clinically meaningful predictors of emergency readmission and mortality following HF hospitalisation. Patient-level visualisation of individual risk drivers may support more personalised post-discharge management.
Wang, F.; Utianski, R. L.; Barnard, L. R.; Stricker, J. L.; Clark, H. M.; Meade, G. F.; Jones, D. T.; Whitwell, J. L.; Josephs, K. A.; Duffy, J. R.; Botha, H.
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Motor speech disorders (MSDs) are early markers of neurological disease, but expert perceptual analysis is rarely available outside specialized centers. Automated speech analysis offers a scalable alternative, yet prior studies have not systematically compared modeling approaches or assessed clinically relevant metrics in independent datasets. This study compared static acoustic features, articulatory informed Phonet features, and self-supervised pretrained models for binary and multi label MSD classification. We trained and evaluated models on 583 speech samples using speaker level splits. Baseline models included logistic regression and Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) trained on eGeMAPS and MFCCs. We extracted three types of Phonet derived features and evaluated pretrained HuBERT and SSAST models in frozen, partially fine-tuned, and fully fine-tuned configurations. Binary classification distinguished MSDs from controls, while multi label classification identified six MSD subtypes. Models were assessed using validation AUC, and cut points were tested on two independent datasets. Pretrained and Phonet based models substantially outperformed static acoustic features. In binary classification, HuBERT achieved the highest AUC (0.95), while compact Phonet derived GRUs achieved comparable performance (up to 0.94). These models generalized well to independent datasets, maintaining high sensitivity (0.94) and specificity (0.97). In multi label classification, Phonet models achieved the highest macro average AUC (0.86), but threshold-based subtype performance declined on unseen data. Automated MSD detection is feasible and clinically promising. Binary classification generalized well, whereas multi label classification showed limited threshold stability across datasets.
Mukthar, V. K.; Tuei, S.; Towett, P.
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Background Oral care is a critical nursing intervention for mechanically ventilated patients in intensive care units (ICUs) and plays an important role in preventing ventilator-associated complications. However, variability in nurses' competency in oral care remains a concern, particularly in resource-limited settings. Objective To assess ICU nurses' competency in providing oral care to mechanically ventilated patients and determine factors associated with competency at Tenwek Hospital, Kenya. Methods An analytical cross-sectional study was conducted among ICU nurses at Tenwek Hospital. A total of 38 nurses were invited, and 35 participated, yielding a response rate of 92.1%. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire and an observational competency checklist. Descriptive statistics and inferential analysis, including chi-square tests and binary logistic regression, were performed using SPSS version 30. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05. Results ICU nurses demonstrated generally high competency in key oral care practices, including use of personal protective equipment (100%), suctioning before and after oral care (91.4%), and oral assessment (80.0%). However, gaps were identified in documentation of oral care (62.9%) and adherence to standardized protocols (65.7%). Formal oral care training was significantly associated with competency (OR=5.63, 95% CI: 1.78-17.81, p=0.002), as were professional qualification (p=0.030) and ICU experience (p=0.021). In multivariable analysis, oral care training (OR=3.01, p=0.006), ICU experience (OR=2.85, p=0.015), and availability of guidelines (OR=2.17, p=0.047) were independent predictors of competency. Conclusion ICU nurses at Tenwek Hospital demonstrate satisfactory competency in oral care for mechanically ventilated patients, although gaps remain in documentation and protocol adherence. Strengthening training, guideline availability, and institutional support systems is essential to improve consistency and quality of oral care practice. Keywords Intensive care unit; oral care; nursing competency; mechanically ventilated patients; ventilator-associated pneumonia; Kenya.
Zhang, Y.; Sutherland, S.; GREENWAY, K.; Stayt, L.
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Abstract Background: Remote clinical reviews have become an integral component of contemporary nursing practice across community and acute care settings. Nurses increasingly make autonomous clinical decisions using telephone, video, and online/digital systems, often with limited sensory information and under conditions of uncertainty. However, empirical understanding of how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews remains limited. Aim: To explore and understand how registered nurses (RNs) make clinical decisions about patient care via remote reviews. Methods: A convergent mixed-methods design was employed. Quantitative data (analytic quantitative sample N=53) were collected using validated questionnaires that measured decision-making processes, physician-nurse collaboration, decision-making stress, and perceived decision-making ability. Qualitative data (N=23) were generated through semi-structured interviews. Data collection took place between October 2024 and April 2025. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and multiple regression. Qualitative data were analysed using framework analysis. Integration was achieved through pillar-building and theory-driven synthesis and illustrated by joint display tables. Results: Most nurses demonstrated a flexible decision-making style, integrating analytical and intuitive reasoning. Both analytical and intuitive processes were positively associated with perceived decision-making ability. Physician-nurse collaboration emerged as a strong predictor of decision-making confidence, while decision-related stress was not a significant predictor. Qualitative findings identified three themes: characteristics of remote review; making adaptive decisions shaped by both internal and external constraints and enablers; and external influencing factors. The integrated findings informed a theory-informed ICE framework to illustrate how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews. Conclusion: Remote clinical decision-making is a dynamic cognitive-environmental process rather than a purely individual cognitive act. The ICE framework conceptualises this interaction, extending existing decision-making theories to digitally mediated care. Impact: Understanding remote decision-making supports training design, clinical governance, and the development of Artificial Intelligence-enhanced decision-support tools grounded in ecological bounded rationality. Patient or Public Contribution: Patient and public representatives contributed to stakeholder discussions that informed the development of the interview topic guide and the theoretical model. Patients or members of the public were not involved in recruitment, data collection, analysis, interpretation of findings, or preparation of the manuscript. Keywords: clinical decision-making, remote reviews, telehealth, nursing, mixed methods, ecological bounded rationality
Fernandez, A.; Foncelle, A.; Meunier, H.; Van-Der-Henst, J.-B.; Revillet, F.; Breton, A.
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Introduction Auto-Induced Cognitive Trance (AICT) is a non-ordinary state of consciousness (NOSC) that can be accessed by will alone once a standardised self-induction procedure has been learnt. The first research publication on AICT dates back only ten years, meaning that research on this phenomenon is still in its infancy. Previous reports concerning the phenomenology and neurophysiology of AICT revealed similarities with more extensively described NOSCs, as well as unusual features, raising questions about the potential benefits of AICT practice for well-being. Objective This study aimed to gather quantitative descriptive data on features associated with well-being in a large comparative sample of AICT practitioners and non-practitioners. Method This research followed a web-based survey study design which enquired AICT-trained and yet-to-be trained participants to self-report through validated standardised questionnaires on vitality, self-esteem, mental well-being, trait anxiety, life satisfaction, happiness, positive and negative affect, nature-relatedness and connectedness. Data on NOSCs practices, life history events that could have led to spontaneous NOSCs, and demographic data were collected for further inclusion as control variables in statistical models. Results The online questionnaire yielded 607 valid responses, (171 yet-to-be trained participants and 436 AICT-trained participants). AICT practice was found to be associated with increased self-esteem (RSE), overall connectedness (WCS) as well as all subdimensions of connectedness (WCS Self, WCS Others, WCS World). AICT practice Duration exhibited significant effects on global connectedness and all subdimensions of connectedness, self-esteem, trait anxiety (STAIT-5), and positive affect (PANAS+). Conclusions AICT seems to benefit to practitioners well-being shortly after training through increases in self-esteem and in the sense of connectedness. Prolonged AICT practice is associated with added decreased trait anxiety and increased positive affect. Further research is needed to confirm these findings with a sample including AICT-uninterested participants, and to clarify the underlying mechanisms of AICT.